Nord America | USA: (POLITICO) Poll finds Biden damaged by debate; with Harris and Clinton best positioned to win - A top Democratic pollster has a new survey showing President Joe Biden still in contention against Donald Trump, but at further risk of losing the election â with other leading Democrats now surging ahead.
- The national poll, conducted and commissioned by the firm Bendixen & Amandi after Bidenâs politically disastrous debate and shared exclusively with POLITICO, found Biden trailing Trump, 42 percent to 43 percent.
- Of the 86 percent of likely voters who watched all or part of the debate, just 29 percent said Biden has the mental capacity and physical stamina to serve another four-year term, compared with 61 percent who said he does not. Only 33 percent said he should continue as the Democratic nominee, versus 52 percent who believe he should not. And just half of Democrats said Biden should be the partyâs nominee or is mentally and physically fit to serve out another term.
- Vice President Kamala Harris is now running ahead of Trump, 42 percent to 41 percent, the survey found. And former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the 2016 nominee who is not being seriously discussed as a candidate by voters anxious about Bidenâs chances, is slightly ahead of Harris. Clinton leads Trump 43 percent to 41 percent.
USA (Summit Nato): (The Washington Post) NATO vows lasting support for Ukraine, but wonât promise membership - NATO leaders will unveil new steps to train and arm Ukraine at an alliance summit this week but will stop short of concrete advances toward its membership in the Western bloc, underscoring questions about how Kyiv can prevail in its grinding war against Russia.
- Russia has managed to defy a barrage of Western sanctions imposed following President Vladimir Putinâs 2022 invasion, instead surging troops and military production in its quest to cement control over vast swaths of Ukraine.
- National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said the gathering would highlight how NATO, with its two new members, Finland and Sweden, had risen to the challenge of rebuffing the Kremlinâs assault on international norms.
- Against the backdrop of Ukraineâs struggle to sustain its military effort â along with European anxiety about the potential for upheaval under a second Trump presidency and a rise in far-right parties in some alliance members â NATO leaders are expected to announce a package of modest deliverables for Ukraine.
- They include shifting from U.S. to NATO control elements of the effort to arm and train Ukraine, and other measures officials are depicting as a âbridgeâ to Ukraineâs future accession to the alliance. More direct action to admit Ukraine, such as setting a timeline for entry, remains a contentious subject among NATO members, some of whom fear absorbing a country mired in conflict with a nuclear superpower.
- Officials were still racing to finalize the summitâs communiquĂŠ on Monday, the eve of the summit. The latest proposal would offer Ukraine an âirreversibleâ path toward NATO membership, but it would also include extensive language about the need for Kyiv to make anti-corruption and good governance reforms before it can join, nine officials familiar with the conversations said, some of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss ongoing negotiations.
(Associated Press) Ukraine opens DC weapons office and Europe bolsters defense spending as November US election looms - NATO has signed a nearly $700 million contract to have member countries produce more Stinger missiles, one of many steps the alliance is pressing at its summit in Washington to get each country to boost its own weapons production capabilities.
- Outgoing NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced the contract Tuesday at a Chamber of Commerce industry day focused on increasing NATO member countriesâ defense manufacturing capabilities to deter future attacks.
- Ukraine, a partner that relies on military aid from the NATO members, is opening a small office in Washington to strengthen its ties to the U.S. defense industry. Regardless of whether President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump wins the U.S. election, the alliance and Ukraine want to be in a better position to provide more of their own defense needs.
- The Stinger is a portable surface-to-air defense system that can be carried and fired by troops or mounted to a vehicle and used as short-range defense against aircraft. The Raytheon-produced system was one of the first weapons the U.S. shipped to Ukraine following Russiaâs 2022 invasion.
- The NATO summit is occurring against a backdrop of uncertainty: U.S. political divisions delayed weapons for Ukraine for months and the upcoming presidential election is raising concern that U.S. backing â with weapons and troops â in case of threats against member countries may not always be guaranteed.
(Associated Press) To counter China, NATO and its Asian partners are moving closer under US leadership - In the third year of the war in Ukraine, NATO is set to deepen relations with its four Indo-Pacific partners, which, although not part of the military alliance, are gaining prominence as Russia and China forge closer ties to counter the United States and the two Koreas support opposing sides of the conflict in Europe.
- The leaders of New Zealand, Japan and South Korea for the third year in a row will attend the NATO summit, which starts Tuesday in Washington, D.C., while Australia will send its deputy prime minister. China will be following the summit closely, worried by the allianceâs growing interest beyond Europe and the Western Hemisphere.
- âIncreasingly, partners in Europe see challenges halfway around the world in Asia as being relevant to them, just as partners in Asia see challenges halfway around the world in Europe as being relevant to them,â Secretary of State Antony Blinken said last week at the Brookings Institution.
- Countries with shared security concerns are strengthening ties as competition escalates between the United States and China. Washington is trying to curb Beijingâs ambition to challenge the U.S.-led world order, which the Chinese government dismisses as a Cold War mentality aimed at containing Chinaâs inevitable rise.
- On Monday, Beijing responded angrily to unconfirmed reports that NATO and its four Indo-Pacific partners are expected to release a document laying out their relationship and ability to respond jointly to threats from cyberattacks and disinformation.
- Lin Jian, a spokesman for the Chinese foreign ministry, accused NATO of âbreaching its boundary, expanding its mandate, reaching beyond its defense zone and stoking confrontation.â
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Asia e Pacifico | Cina: (REUTERS) Nornickel in talks with China Copper to move smelting plant to China, sources say - Nornickel (GMKN.MM), opens new tab is in talks with China Copper to form a joint venture that would allow the Russian mining giant to move its entire copper smelting base to China, four sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
- If the move goes ahead, it would mark Russia's first uprooting of a domestic plant since the U.S. and Britain banned metal exchanges from accepting new aluminium, copper and nickel produced by Russia. It also means Nornickel's copper will be produced within the country where it is most consumed.
- Nornickel said in April it planned to close its Arctic facility and build a new plant in China with an unnamed partner. Executives at China Copper, owned by the world's largest aluminium producer Chinalco (601600.SS), opens new tab, flew to Moscow in June to discuss a possible joint venture, one of the sources said, adding that details of the structure and investment are still under discussion.
- The new facility will have capacity to produce 450,000 tonnes of copper annually, two of the sources said, amounting to around 2% of global mined supplies estimated at around 22 million metric tons this year.
- Its relocation plan came shortly after the London Metal Exchange, the world's largest and oldest metals forum, announced new restrictions on its product sales in April. Nornickel (GMKN.MM), opens new tab and its metal are not under U.S. or European sanctions, but many western consumers will no longer buy metal of Russian origin since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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